Adelaide v Richmond
Adelaide Oval
21.14
140
10.4
64
Match complete
Adelaide won by 76 points
IN
Kelly
Jenkins
Knight
Menzel
OUT
IN
Morris
Vlastuin
Menadue
Elton
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
82% | 42 points | ✓ | 33.5 | 0.71 |
 |
|
87% | 48 points | ✓ | 28.0 | 0.80 |
 |
|
86% | 50 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.78 |
 |
|
85% | 53 points | ✓ | 23.0 | 0.77 |
 |
|
85% | 38 points | ✓ | 38.1 | 0.76 |
| Punters | |
82% | ✓ | 0.71 | ||
 |
|
80% | 30 points | ✓ | 46.0 | 0.68 |
 |
|
78% | ✓ | 0.64 | ||
 |
|
71% | 36 points | ✓ | 40.0 | 0.51 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.