Essendon v Melbourne
Docklands
10.14
74
17.10
112
Match complete
Melbourne won by 38 points
IN
Bellchambers
McKenna
Howlett
Dea
Gleeson
Kelly
Leuenberger
Stanton
Ambrose
Francis
OUT
IN
Hannan
Pedersen
McDonald
Bugg
Lewis
Hogan
Harmes
Stretch
Spencer
Smith
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
60% | 13 points | ✓ | 25.3 | 0.27 |
 |
|
66% | ✓ | 0.41 | ||
 |
|
65% | 16 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.38 |
 |
|
64% | 18 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.36 |
 |
|
64% | 16 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.36 |
 |
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.24 |
 |
|
58% | 12 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.20 |
 |
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 31.6 | 0.16 |
| Punters | |
51% | ✓ | 0.02 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.