Carlton v Sydney
M.C.G.
15.7
97
11.12
78
Match complete
Carlton won by 19 points
IN
Smedts
Silvagni
Graham
Kreuzer
Phillips
Macreadie
Pickett
Polson
OUT
IN
Rose
Newman
Jack
Laidler
Tippett
Jack
Marsh
Foote
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 69% | 24 points | ✗ | 43.1 | -0.70 | |
77% | 37 points | ✗ | 56.0 | -1.12 | ||
Punters | 77% | ✗ | -1.10 | |||
74% | 27 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.93 | ||
73% | 28 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.89 | ||
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.70 | ||
69% | 32 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.68 | ||
63% | ✗ | -0.44 | ||||
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 21.9 | -0.08 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.