Essendon v Collingwood
M.C.G.
15.10
100
11.16
82
Match complete
Essendon won by 18 points
IN
McNiece
Francis
Langford
McKenna
OUT
IN
Phillips
Cox
Wells
White
Blair
Smith
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
67% | 21 points | ✗ | 39.2 | -0.58 |
 |
|
73% | 31 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.89 |
 |
|
73% | 27 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -0.89 |
 |
|
71% | 23 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.77 |
 |
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.65 |
 |
|
67% | 17 points | ✗ | 35.1 | -0.62 |
 |
|
62% | ✗ | -0.38 | ||
| Punters | |
61% | ✗ | -0.36 | ||
 |
|
58% | 13 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.26 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.