Richmond v Melbourne
M.C.G.
12.16
88
11.9
75
Match complete
Richmond won by 13 points
IN
Markov
Vlastuin
OUT
IN
Smith
Kennedy Harris
Hibberd
Hogan
Kent
Bugg
Weideman
Hannan
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 53% | 2 points | ✓ | 11.2 | 0.09 | |
Punters | 57% | ✓ | 0.20 | |||
57% | ✓ | 0.18 | ||||
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.17 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.08 | ||
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 11.3 | 0.07 | ||
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.03 | ||
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.01 | ||
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.