St Kilda v Geelong
Docklands
13.10
88
19.12
126
Match complete
Geelong won by 38 points
IN
Longer
Minchington
Steven
Armitage
Hickey
Lonie
OUT
IN
Black
Horlin-Smith
Lang
Menegola
Ruggles
Parsons
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
68% | 23 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.44 |
 |
|
79% | 34 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.65 |
 |
|
74% | 32 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.57 |
 |
|
71% | ✓ | 0.50 | ||
 |
|
70% | 33 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.48 |
 |
|
68% | 17 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.45 |
 |
|
65% | 18 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.38 |
| Punters | |
63% | ✓ | 0.34 | ||
 |
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 33.9 | 0.09 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.