Melbourne v Greater Western Sydney
M.C.G.
15.12
102
8.9
57
Match complete
Melbourne won by 45 points
IN
Kennedy Harris
Hannan
OUT
IN
Reid
Kelly
Griffen
Daniels
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 65% | 14 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.38 | |
72% | 20 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.52 | ||
71% | 20 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.50 | ||
69% | 17 points | ✓ | 28.0 | 0.47 | ||
68% | 13 points | ✓ | 32.0 | 0.43 | ||
67% | 16 points | ✓ | 29.4 | 0.43 | ||
Punters | 66% | ✓ | 0.39 | |||
65% | 15 points | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.38 | ||
65% | 12 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.38 | ||
64% | 18 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.36 | ||
61% | 12 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.28 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 37.0 | 0.25 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 42.0 | 0.08 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.