Fremantle v Carlton
Optus Stadium
15.11
101
10.12
72
Match complete
Fremantle won by 29 points
IN
Switkowski
Giro
Duman
Nyhuis
Sheridan
Kersten
Hill
Matera
Tucker
Banfield
Brayshaw
Crowden
OUT
IN
Kerridge
Silvagni
Kennedy
O'Shea
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 70% | 20 points | ✓ | 9.5 | 0.49 | |
80% | 26 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.69 | ||
Punters | 76% | ✓ | 0.61 | |||
75% | 22 points | ✓ | 6.5 | 0.58 | ||
74% | 23 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.57 | ||
74% | 22 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.57 | ||
71% | 19 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.50 | ||
70% | 17 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.49 | ||
70% | 20 points | ✓ | 8.9 | 0.49 | ||
70% | 27 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.49 | ||
69% | 21 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.47 | ||
68% | 19 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.44 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.