Adelaide v Essendon

Adelaide Oval

153

88

Match complete
Adelaide won by 65 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
89% 61 points 4.20.84
Adelaide
96% 70 points 5.00.94
Adelaide
95% 60 points 5.50.93
Adelaide
94% 72 points 7.00.91
Adelaide
91% 68 points 3.00.86
Adelaide
91% 49 points 16.00.86
Adelaide
88% 0.82
Punters
Adelaide
83% 0.72
Adelaide
76% 46 points 19.00.60

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2017