Collingwood v Brisbane Lions
2018-08-11 19:25:00
Docklands

14.20

104

11.7

73

Match complete
Collingwood won by 31 points

IN

Oxley

Aish

De Goey

Moore

Brown

Daicos

OUT

IN

Cutler

Bastinac

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		76%	26 points	✓	4.6	0.60
		83%	34 points	✓	3.0	0.73
		82%	31 points	✓	0.3	0.71
		81%	26 points	✓	5.0	0.70
		78%	28 points	✓	3.0	0.64
		77%	26 points	✓	5.0	0.63
		77%	29 points	✓	1.8	0.63
		77%	37 points	✓	6.0	0.62
Punters		76%		✓		0.61
		74%	27 points	✓	4.0	0.56
		74%	24 points	✓	7.0	0.56
		67%	15 points	✓	16.0	0.41
		61%	13 points	✓	18.0	0.28

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.