Hawthorn v Geelong
M.C.G.
10.11
71
8.12
60
Match complete
Hawthorn won by 11 points
IN
Pittonet
Nash
Roughead
Whitecross
OUT
IN
O'Connor
Narkle
Parsons
Stewart
Stanley
Bews
Thurlow
Cunico
Jones
Abbott
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 12.2 | -0.06 |
| Punters | |
64% | ✗ | -0.48 | ||
 |
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 21.1 | -0.36 |
 |
|
58% | 10 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.25 |
 |
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.19 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.10 |
 |
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.08 |
 |
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 10.7 | 0.03 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.03 |
 |
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.04 |
 |
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.08 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.10 |
 |
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.29 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.