Carlton v Gold Coast
Docklands
12.10
82
17.6
108
Match complete
Gold Coast won by 26 points
IN
Fisher
Curnow
Palmer
Kerridge
OUT
IN
Leslie
Thompson
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 56% | 6 points | ✗ | 32.2 | -0.18 | |
62% | ✗ | -0.40 | ||||
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.36 | ||
60% | 13 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.32 | ||
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.31 | ||
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.28 | ||
56% | 8 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.18 | ||
Punters | 55% | ✓ | 0.13 | |||
57% | 11 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.18 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.