Essendon v St Kilda
Docklands
18.14
122
11.13
79
Match complete
Essendon won by 43 points
IN
Pierce
Paton
Marshall
Rice
Long
Dunstan
Hickey
Clark
Coffield
Battle
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 72% | 20 points | ✓ | 22.6 | 0.52 | |
90% | 37 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.85 | ||
Punters | 81% | ✓ | 0.70 | |||
76% | 25 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.60 | ||
73% | 24 points | ✓ | 18.9 | 0.55 | ||
71% | 19 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.51 | ||
70% | 18 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.49 | ||
70% | 19 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.48 | ||
68% | 16 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.44 | ||
67% | 16 points | ✓ | 27.3 | 0.42 | ||
66% | 20 points | ✓ | 23.0 | 0.40 | ||
66% | 17 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.39 | ||
64% | 14 points | ✓ | 29.0 | 0.34 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.