St Kilda v Western Bulldogs
Docklands
9.14
68
15.13
103
Match complete
Western Bulldogs won by 35 points
IN
Freeman
Clark
Armitage
Webster
Savage
Gilbert
Weller
Marshall
OUT
IN
Smith
Dickson
Jong
Adams
Roberts
Honeychurch
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 44.1 | -0.33 |
 |
|
70% | 16 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.73 |
 |
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -0.69 |
 |
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 49.8 | -0.62 |
 |
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.56 |
 |
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -0.36 |
 |
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 44.4 | -0.34 |
| Punters | |
59% | ✗ | -0.29 | ||
 |
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.26 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.22 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.12 |
 |
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.10 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 32.0 | 0.09 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.