Gold Coast v Carlton
Carrara
5.14
44
12.7
79
Match complete
Carlton won by 35 points
IN
Fiorini
Bowes
Swallow
Ah Chee
Ballard
Crossley
OUT
IN
Byrne
Lang
Lamb
Rowe
Thomas
Jones
Fisher
Casboult
Graham
Shaw
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 65% | 13 points | ✗ | 48.2 | -0.50 | |
73% | 18 points | ✗ | 53.0 | -0.86 | ||
72% | 22 points | ✗ | 57.3 | -0.82 | ||
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 53.0 | -0.74 | ||
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 53.0 | -0.74 | ||
Punters | 70% | ✗ | -0.72 | |||
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 53.0 | -0.70 | ||
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 47.3 | -0.48 | ||
63% | 13 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.41 | ||
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -0.36 | ||
57% | 9 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.22 | ||
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.12 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.11 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.