Geelong v Brisbane Lions
GMHBA Stadium
18.12
120
11.12
78
Match complete
Geelong won by 42 points
IN
Fogarty
Jones
OUT
IN
Hodge
Andrews
Cutler
Cox
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 79% | 30 points | ✓ | 11.8 | 0.65 | |
86% | 40 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.78 | ||
86% | 38 points | ✓ | 3.9 | 0.78 | ||
83% | 34 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.73 | ||
82% | 32 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.70 | ||
81% | 26 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.70 | ||
Punters | 81% | ✓ | 0.69 | |||
80% | 42 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.68 | ||
78% | 31 points | ✓ | 11.2 | 0.64 | ||
78% | 32 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.64 | ||
75% | 25 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.59 | ||
69% | 17 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.47 | ||
64% | 15 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.36 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.