Richmond v Adelaide
2018-07-06 19:50:00
M.C.G.

15.13

103

8.8

56

Match complete
Richmond won by 47 points

IN

Moore

Ellis

Vlastuin

Conca

OUT

IN

Lynch

Mackay

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		77%	29 points	✓	18.1	0.63
		89%	42 points	✓	4.8	0.84
		86%	41 points	✓	6.0	0.78
		84%	31 points	✓	16.0	0.75
		83%	35 points	✓	12.0	0.74
		81%	36 points	✓	10.8	0.70
		78%	27 points	✓	20.0	0.64
		77%	26 points	✓	21.0	0.63
Punters		77%		✓		0.62
		73%	25 points	✓	22.0	0.54
		72%	29 points	✓	18.0	0.53
		64%	12 points	✓	35.0	0.36
		63%	13 points	✓	34.0	0.32

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.