Sydney v Geelong
S.C.G.
9.5
59
8.23
71
Match complete
Geelong won by 12 points
IN
Robinson
Fox
Towers
Heeney
Rohan
Rose
OUT
IN
Jones
Selwood
Parsons
Cunico
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 59% | 9 points | ✗ | 21.3 | -0.30 | |
70% | 19 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.74 | ||
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.63 | ||
65% | 20 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.51 | ||
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.50 | ||
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.40 | ||
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 20.1 | -0.33 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.28 | ||
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.24 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.23 | ||
Punters | 56% | ✗ | -0.20 | |||
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.09 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.24 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.