Melbourne v St Kilda

M.C.G.
18.9
117
18.11
119

Match complete
St Kilda won by 2 points

IN
Petty
Weideman
Vince
Smith
OUT
IN
Joyce
Geary
Webster
Austin
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Melbourne
80% 31 points 33.0-1.29
Massey Ratings
Melbourne
93% 45 points 47.0-2.83
Punters
Melbourne
86% -1.84
HPN
Melbourne
85% 37 points 39.0-1.74
Swinburne
Melbourne
84% 37 points 39.0-1.64
Live Ladders
Melbourne
81% 30 points 32.0-1.40
Graft
Melbourne
80% 31 points 33.0-1.34
Matter of Stats
Melbourne
80% 29 points 30.9-1.29
Squiggle
Melbourne
77% 31 points 32.6-1.14
The Arc
Melbourne
77% 26 points 28.0-1.12
Footy Maths Institute
Melbourne
74% 32 points 34.0-0.94
PlusSixOne
Melbourne
73% 26 points 28.0-0.90
Stattraction
Melbourne
65% 17 points 19.0-0.51

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 15, 2018