Melbourne v St Kilda
M.C.G.
18.9
117
18.11
119
Match complete
St Kilda won by 2 points
IN
Petty
Weideman
Vince
Smith
OUT
IN
Joyce
Geary
Webster
Austin
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 80% | 31 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -1.29 | |
93% | 45 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -2.83 | ||
Punters | 86% | ✗ | -1.84 | |||
85% | 37 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -1.74 | ||
84% | 37 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -1.64 | ||
81% | 30 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -1.40 | ||
80% | 31 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -1.34 | ||
80% | 29 points | ✗ | 30.9 | -1.29 | ||
77% | 31 points | ✗ | 32.6 | -1.14 | ||
77% | 26 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -1.12 | ||
74% | 32 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.94 | ||
73% | 26 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.90 | ||
65% | 17 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.51 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.