Greater Western Sydney v Hawthorn
Sydney Showground
13.17
95
13.6
84
Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 11 points
IN
Lobb
Cameron
OUT
IN
Glass
Ceglar
Burgoyne
Gunston
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 60% | 10 points | ✓ | 0.9 | 0.27 | |
71% | 23 points | ✓ | 11.6 | 0.51 | ||
71% | 18 points | ✓ | 6.7 | 0.50 | ||
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.36 | ||
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.35 | ||
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.35 | ||
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.35 | ||
63% | 16 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.33 | ||
Punters | 62% | ✓ | 0.32 | |||
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.26 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.06 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.03 | ||
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.27 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.