Adelaide v West Coast
Adelaide Oval
12.16
88
12.6
78
Match complete
Adelaide won by 10 points
IN
Fogarty
Hampton
Brown
Laird
Sloane
Betts
Atkins
Gibson
Otten
Wilson
OUT
IN
Ainsworth
Ah Chee
LeCras
Nelson
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 52% | 0 points | ✓ | 9.6 | 0.05 | |
Punters | 66% | ✓ | 0.40 | |||
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.18 | ||
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.12 | ||
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.11 | ||
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 7.9 | 0.08 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.05 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.04 | ||
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.03 | ||
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.00 | ||
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 10.0 | 0.00 | ||
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 17.1 | -0.23 | ||
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.38 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.