Carlton v Port Adelaide
M.C.G.
10.9
69
13.12
90
Match complete
Port Adelaide won by 21 points
IN
Pickett
Phillips
Graham
Casboult
Murphy
Kreuzer
Plowman
Thomas
O'Shea
O'Brien
OUT
IN
Trengove
Hombsch
Jonas
Byrne-Jones
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 78% | 28 points | ✓ | 6.6 | 0.63 | |
88% | 38 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.82 | ||
85% | 39 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.77 | ||
Punters | 85% | ✓ | 0.76 | |||
82% | 32 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.71 | ||
80% | 30 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.69 | ||
79% | 27 points | ✓ | 5.6 | 0.66 | ||
77% | 25 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.63 | ||
73% | 22 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.55 | ||
72% | 24 points | ✓ | 2.5 | 0.53 | ||
71% | 27 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.51 | ||
70% | 22 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.49 | ||
69% | 19 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.46 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.