Western Bulldogs v Geelong
Docklands
16.7
103
15.11
101
Match complete
Western Bulldogs won by 2 points
IN
Lynch
Jong
Daniel
Honeychurch
OUT
IN
Narkle
Guthrie
Taylor
McCarthy
Guthrie
Gregson
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 75% | 24 points | ✗ | 26.2 | -0.98 | |
84% | 34 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -1.69 | ||
Punters | 83% | ✗ | -1.54 | |||
82% | 34 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -1.47 | ||
78% | 26 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -1.17 | ||
75% | 33 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -1.00 | ||
75% | 23 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.98 | ||
73% | 25 points | ✗ | 27.1 | -0.90 | ||
72% | 20 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.81 | ||
71% | 19 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.80 | ||
69% | 19 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.68 | ||
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 18.8 | -0.64 | ||
66% | 16 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.54 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.