Carlton v Essendon
M.C.G.
7.15
57
6.6
42
Match complete
Carlton won by 15 points
IN
Williamson
Kerridge
Palmer
Armfield
Curnow
Smedts
OUT
IN
Hocking
Brown
Leuenberger
Howlett
Hartley
McKernan
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
53% | 1 point | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.10 |
| Punters | |
79% | ✗ | -1.23 | ||
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.15 |
 |
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.07 |
 |
|
52% | ✗ | -0.06 | ||
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.02 |
 |
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.03 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.14 |
 |
|
55% | 7 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.14 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.