Carlton v Essendon

M.C.G.

57

42

Match complete
Carlton won by 15 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Essendon
53% 1 point 16.0-0.10
Punters
Essendon
79% -1.23
Essendon
55% 5 points 20.0-0.15
Essendon
53% 2 points 17.0-0.07
Essendon
52% -0.06
Essendon
51% 1 point 16.0-0.02
Carlton
51% 2 points 13.00.03
Carlton
55% 5 points 10.00.14
Carlton
55% 7 points 8.00.14

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.