Melbourne v Collingwood

M.C.G.
14.7
91
20.13
133

Match complete
Collingwood won by 42 points

IN
Smith
Pedersen
Lever
Smith
OUT
IN
Howe
Appleby
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Melbourne
62% 11 points 53.2-0.38
Massey Ratings
Melbourne
77% 23 points 65.0-1.09
Live Ladders
Melbourne
68% 16 points 58.0-0.63
HPN
Melbourne
67% 16 points 58.0-0.61
Swinburne
Melbourne
65% 15 points 57.0-0.51
Graft
Melbourne
63% 13 points 55.0-0.45
PlusSixOne
Melbourne
62% 17 points 59.0-0.40
Punters
Melbourne
62% -0.38
Matter of Stats
Melbourne
57% 5 points 47.3-0.20
The Arc
Melbourne
56% 5 points 47.0-0.19
Footy Maths Institute
Melbourne
56% 7 points 49.0-0.18
Squiggle
Melbourne
53% 3 points 45.0-0.09
Stattraction
Melbourne
53% 3 points 45.0-0.09

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 12, 2018