Melbourne v Collingwood

M.C.G.

91

133

Match complete
Collingwood won by 42 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Melbourne
62% 11 points 53.2-0.38
Melbourne
77% 23 points 65.0-1.09
Melbourne
68% 16 points 58.0-0.63
Melbourne
67% 16 points 58.0-0.61
Melbourne
65% 15 points 57.0-0.51
Melbourne
63% 13 points 55.0-0.45
Melbourne
62% 17 points 59.0-0.40
Punters
Melbourne
62% -0.38
Melbourne
57% 5 points 47.3-0.20
Melbourne
56% 7 points 49.0-0.18
Melbourne
56% 5 points 47.0-0.19
Melbourne
53% 3 points 45.0-0.09
Melbourne
53% 3 points 45.0-0.09

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 12, 2018