Fremantle v Adelaide

Optus Stadium

71

68

Match complete
Fremantle won by 3 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
61% 10 points 12.5-0.35
Adelaide
76% 25 points 28.0-1.03
Punters
Adelaide
75% -1.00
Adelaide
68% 15 points 18.0-0.62
Adelaide
67% 22 points 25.0-0.60
Adelaide
66% 14 points 17.0-0.55
Adelaide
60% 10 points 13.0-0.33
Adelaide
59% 8 points 11.0-0.28
Adelaide
57% 8 points 11.0-0.20
Adelaide
57% 7 points 10.0-0.22
Adelaide
54% 3 points 6.0-0.12
Fremantle
53% 3 points 0.00.08
Fremantle
56% 5 points 1.50.17

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 12, 2018