Brisbane Lions v Essendon

Gabba

62

84

Match complete
Essendon won by 22 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Essendon
52% 1 point 20.80.04
Essendon
63% 12 points 10.00.33
Essendon
57% 7 points 15.00.19
Punters
Essendon
56% 0.16
Essendon
53% 4 points 18.00.08
Essendon
52% 3 points 19.00.07
Essendon
51% 1 point 21.00.02
Essendon
51% 0 points 22.00.02
Brisbane Lions
51% 1 point 23.0-0.03
Brisbane Lions
51% 2 points 24.0-0.04
Brisbane Lions
52% 1 point 23.0-0.04
Brisbane Lions
55% 6 points 28.0-0.16
Brisbane Lions
56% 4 points 26.2-0.17

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 12, 2018