Port Adelaide v Richmond

Adelaide Oval
10.12
72
8.10
58

Match complete
Port Adelaide won by 14 points

IN
Pittard
Hombsch
OUT
IN
Miles
Castagna
Martin
Graham
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Richmond
56% 7 points 21.3-0.19
Matter of Stats
Richmond
64% 12 points 26.4-0.46
Stattraction
Richmond
63% 14 points 28.0-0.44
Swinburne
Richmond
62% 12 points 26.0-0.40
Squiggle
Richmond
61% 11 points 25.0-0.36
Massey Ratings
Richmond
58% 7 points 21.0-0.25
HPN
Richmond
57% 7 points 21.0-0.22
Live Ladders
Richmond
56% 5 points 19.0-0.18
PlusSixOne
Richmond
54% 5 points 19.0-0.12
The Arc
Richmond
54% 3 points 17.0-0.11
Footy Maths Institute
Richmond
53% 4 points 18.0-0.09
Graft
Richmond
51% 0 points 14.0-0.02
Punters
Port Adelaide
57% 0.18

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 12, 2018