Port Adelaide v Adelaide
Adelaide Oval
12.11
83
15.10
100
Match complete
Adelaide won by 17 points
IN
Hartlett
Hombsch
OUT
IN
Lever
Jenkins
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
64% | 16 points | ✓ | 0.7 | 0.36 |
 |
|
71% | 22 points | ✓ | 4.8 | 0.50 |
 |
|
66% | 22 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.40 |
 |
|
66% | 17 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.40 |
| Punters | |
65% | ✓ | 0.38 | ||
 |
|
64% | ✓ | 0.36 | ||
 |
|
64% | 18 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.36 |
 |
|
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.32 |
 |
|
55% | 8 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.13 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.