Geelong v Melbourne
Docklands
20.6
126
13.19
97
Match complete
Geelong won by 29 points
IN
Parsons
Menegola
Smith
Guthrie
Stanley
Lang
Cowan
Horlin-Smith
OUT
IN
Smith
Kent
Vince
Lewis
Hogan
Brayshaw
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
68% | 23 points | ✓ | 6.1 | 0.44 |
 |
|
75% | 32 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.58 |
 |
|
71% | 28 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.51 |
 |
|
70% | 22 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.48 |
 |
|
70% | 18 points | ✓ | 11.4 | 0.48 |
 |
|
67% | 29 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.43 |
 |
|
67% | ✓ | 0.43 | ||
| Punters | |
63% | ✓ | 0.33 | ||
 |
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.28 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.