Essendon v Geelong

M.C.G.
12.12
84
7.8
50

Match complete
Essendon won by 34 points

IN
Clarke
Ridley
Guelfi
Langford
Dea
Parish
Hurley
Myers
McNiece
Mutch
OUT
IN
Hawkins
Ratugolea
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
71% 21 points 55.0-0.79
Punters
Geelong
80% -1.35
Swinburne
Geelong
78% 28 points 62.0-1.18
Massey Ratings
Geelong
76% 23 points 57.0-1.08
The Arc
Geelong
74% 23 points 57.0-0.94
Graft
Geelong
73% 22 points 56.0-0.87
Matter of Stats
Geelong
72% 21 points 55.5-0.82
Footy Maths Institute
Geelong
71% 28 points 62.0-0.79
Squiggle
Geelong
71% 24 points 58.0-0.79
PlusSixOne
Geelong
68% 24 points 58.0-0.64
HPN
Geelong
67% 15 points 49.0-0.58
Live Ladders
Geelong
65% 13 points 47.0-0.51
Stattraction
Geelong
59% 10 points 44.0-0.30

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 9, 2018