Adelaide v Western Bulldogs
2018-05-18 19:50:00
Adelaide Oval

9.9

63

2.14

26

Match complete
Adelaide won by 37 points

IN

Fogarty

Murphy

Hartigan

Gibson

Crouch

Walker

Brown

McGovern

OUT

IN

Roughead

Trengove

Wood

Honeychurch

Naughton

Young

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		77%	31 points	✓	6.0	0.62
		92%	41 points	✓	4.0	0.88
		86%	39 points	✓	2.0	0.78
		85%	36 points	✓	1.0	0.76
		83%	35 points	✓	2.0	0.73
		83%	47 points	✓	10.0	0.73
		83%	34 points	✓	3.0	0.73
		78%	33 points	✓	4.0	0.64
		77%	26 points	✓	10.9	0.62
		76%	38 points	✓	1.0	0.60
Punters		74%		✓		0.56
		68%	20 points	✓	17.0	0.43
		59%	8 points	✗	45.0	-0.29

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.