Port Adelaide v Adelaide
Adelaide Oval
14.11
95
14.6
90
Match complete
Port Adelaide won by 5 points
IN
Powell-Pepper
Clurey
Wingard
Rockliff
Pittard
Amon
Johnson
Barry
OUT
IN
Poholke
Walker
Milera
Fogarty
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 11.6 | -0.20 |
 |
|
70% | 19 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.74 |
 |
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.44 |
 |
|
62% | 15 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.40 |
 |
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.30 |
 |
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.28 |
| Punters | |
55% | ✗ | -0.15 | ||
 |
|
54% | 5 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.13 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.09 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.07 |
 |
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 6.7 | -0.04 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.03 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.11 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.