Port Adelaide v Adelaide

Adelaide Oval

95

90

Match complete
Port Adelaide won by 5 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
56% 7 points 11.6-0.20
Adelaide
70% 19 points 24.0-0.74
Adelaide
63% 12 points 17.0-0.44
Adelaide
62% 15 points 20.0-0.40
Adelaide
59% 9 points 14.0-0.28
Adelaide
59% 9 points 14.0-0.30
Punters
Adelaide
55% -0.15
Adelaide
54% 5 points 10.0-0.13
Adelaide
53% 3 points 8.0-0.09
Adelaide
52% 2 points 7.0-0.07
Adelaide
51% 2 points 6.7-0.04
Adelaide
51% 1 point 6.0-0.03
Port Adelaide
54% 4 points 1.00.11

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 8, 2018