Carlton v Essendon

M.C.G.

91

78

Match complete
Carlton won by 13 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Essendon
62% 12 points 24.6-0.40
Essendon
70% 19 points 32.0-0.74
Essendon
70% 19 points 32.0-0.74
Punters
Essendon
67% -0.60
Essendon
64% 17 points 30.0-0.47
Essendon
64% 15 points 28.0-0.47
Essendon
64% 12 points 25.0-0.47
Essendon
61% 11 points 24.0-0.37
Essendon
61% 10 points 23.0-0.37
Essendon
57% 9 points 22.0-0.22
Essendon
57% 6 points 19.0-0.23
Essendon
56% 5 points 18.0-0.18
Essendon
54% 4 points 17.0-0.11

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 8, 2018