Hawthorn v Sydney

M.C.G.

71

79

Match complete
Sydney won by 8 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Hawthorn
55% 3 points 11.4-0.14
Hawthorn
69% 17 points 25.0-0.67
Hawthorn
61% 8 points 16.0-0.37
Punters
Hawthorn
61% -0.35
Hawthorn
58% 6 points 13.9-0.24
Hawthorn
57% 6 points 14.0-0.22
Hawthorn
54% 4 points 12.0-0.13
Hawthorn
53% 3 points 11.0-0.09
Hawthorn
52% 3 points 11.0-0.06
Hawthorn
51% 1 point 9.0-0.03
Hawthorn
50% 1 point 9.0-0.01
Sydney
54% 4 points 4.00.11
Sydney
55% 7 points 1.00.14

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 8, 2018