Hawthorn v Sydney
M.C.G.
10.11
71
12.7
79
Match complete
Sydney won by 8 points
IN
Langford
Henderson
Cousins
Worpel
OUT
IN
McCartin
Robinson
Marsh
Fox
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 11.4 | -0.14 |
 |
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.67 |
 |
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.37 |
| Punters | |
61% | ✗ | -0.35 | ||
 |
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 13.9 | -0.24 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.22 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.13 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.09 |
 |
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.06 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.03 |
 |
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.01 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.11 |
 |
|
55% | 7 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.14 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.