Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast
Gabba
10.11
71
11.10
76
Match complete
Gold Coast won by 5 points
IN
Allison
McStay
Lester
Bastinac
Mayes
Mathieson
Walker
Bewick
OUT
IN
Lonergan
Rosa
Hall
Kolodjashnij
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 7.8 | -0.09 |
 |
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.32 |
 |
|
59% | 11 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.30 |
 |
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.28 |
 |
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 10.4 | -0.20 |
| Punters | |
57% | ✗ | -0.20 | ||
 |
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.10 |
 |
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.09 |
 |
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.06 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.06 |
 |
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 6.0 | 0.00 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.03 |
 |
|
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.40 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.