Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast

Gabba

71

76

Match complete
Gold Coast won by 5 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Brisbane Lions
53% 3 points 7.8-0.09
Brisbane Lions
60% 8 points 13.0-0.32
Brisbane Lions
59% 11 points 16.0-0.30
Brisbane Lions
59% 8 points 13.0-0.28
Brisbane Lions
57% 5 points 10.4-0.20
Punters
Brisbane Lions
57% -0.20
Brisbane Lions
54% 3 points 8.0-0.10
Brisbane Lions
53% 4 points 9.0-0.09
Brisbane Lions
52% 3 points 8.0-0.06
Brisbane Lions
52% 2 points 7.0-0.06
Brisbane Lions
50% 1 point 6.00.00
Gold Coast
51% 1 point 4.00.03
Gold Coast
66% 14 points 9.00.40

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 5, 2018