North Melbourne v Hawthorn

Docklands

98

70

Match complete
North Melbourne won by 28 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Hawthorn
60% 10 points 38.3-0.32
Hawthorn
66% 20 points 48.0-0.54
Hawthorn
66% 17 points 45.0-0.56
Hawthorn
63% 11 points 39.0-0.41
Hawthorn
62% 14 points 42.0-0.41
Punters
Hawthorn
62% -0.41
Hawthorn
59% 9 points 37.0-0.29
Hawthorn
59% 8 points 36.0-0.27
Hawthorn
58% 8 points 36.5-0.27
Hawthorn
58% 8 points 36.0-0.27
Hawthorn
57% 9 points 37.0-0.22
Hawthorn
56% 5 points 33.0-0.17
Hawthorn
53% 4 points 32.0-0.10

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 5, 2018