Port Adelaide v Geelong

Adelaide Oval

50

84

Match complete
Geelong won by 34 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Port Adelaide
62% 12 points 46.1-0.41
Port Adelaide
70% 18 points 52.1-0.72
Port Adelaide
68% 21 points 55.0-0.64
Punters
Port Adelaide
65% -0.52
Port Adelaide
64% 13 points 47.0-0.48
Port Adelaide
64% 12 points 46.0-0.48
Port Adelaide
63% 13 points 47.0-0.43
Port Adelaide
61% 13 points 47.0-0.36
Port Adelaide
61% 10 points 44.0-0.36
Port Adelaide
60% 9 points 43.0-0.33
Port Adelaide
59% 9 points 43.0-0.27
Port Adelaide
57% 6 points 40.0-0.20
Port Adelaide
56% 9 points 43.0-0.20

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 5, 2018