Port Adelaide v Geelong
Adelaide Oval
7.8
50
12.12
84
Match complete
Geelong won by 34 points
IN
Hombsch
Neade
Thomas
Rockliff
McKenzie
Marshall
OUT
IN
Thurlow
Horlin-Smith
Parsons
Hawkins
Guthrie
Gregson
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 46.1 | -0.41 |
 |
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 52.1 | -0.72 |
 |
|
68% | 21 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -0.64 |
| Punters | |
65% | ✗ | -0.52 | ||
 |
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.48 |
 |
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.48 |
 |
|
63% | 13 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.43 |
 |
|
61% | 13 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.36 |
 |
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.36 |
 |
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.33 |
 |
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.27 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.20 |
 |
|
56% | 9 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.20 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.