Sydney v Adelaide
S.C.G.
10.15
75
12.13
85
Match complete
Adelaide won by 10 points
IN
Marsh
Rohan
Newman
Aliir
OUT
IN
Poholke
Gallucci
Knight
Otten
Sloane
Betts
Mackay
Fogarty
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 63% | 12 points | ✗ | 21.8 | -0.43 | |
Punters | 77% | ✗ | -1.11 | |||
69% | 19 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.69 | ||
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.68 | ||
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.65 | ||
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.43 | ||
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.41 | ||
62% | 13 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.38 | ||
61% | 14 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.36 | ||
60% | 14 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.32 | ||
59% | 11 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.29 | ||
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.25 | ||
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.11 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.