Hawthorn v Melbourne

M.C.G.

115

48

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 67 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Hawthorn
51% 1 point 66.00.02
Hawthorn
63% 10 points 57.00.34
Hawthorn
62% 11 points 56.00.32
Hawthorn
53% 4 points 63.00.08
Hawthorn
52% 2 points 65.00.06
Hawthorn
52% 1 point 66.10.05
Hawthorn
50% 1 point 66.00.00
Hawthorn
50% 1 point 66.00.01
Hawthorn
50% 0 points 67.00.01
Melbourne
53% 3 points 70.0-0.09
Punters
Melbourne
56% -0.19
Melbourne
56% 6 points 73.0-0.18
Melbourne
61% 10 points 77.0-0.36

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2018