Essendon v Port Adelaide

Docklands

106

84

Match complete
Essendon won by 22 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Port Adelaide
58% 9 points 30.6-0.26
Port Adelaide
73% 21 points 43.0-0.87
Port Adelaide
61% 14 points 36.0-0.36
Port Adelaide
61% 11 points 33.0-0.36
Port Adelaide
60% 9 points 31.0-0.34
Port Adelaide
58% 8 points 30.0-0.26
Port Adelaide
57% 8 points 29.6-0.23
Punters
Port Adelaide
57% -0.22
Port Adelaide
56% 8 points 30.0-0.18
Port Adelaide
56% 7 points 29.0-0.19
Port Adelaide
55% 4 points 26.0-0.14
Port Adelaide
52% 3 points 25.0-0.07
Port Adelaide
51% 2 points 24.0-0.04

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2018