Essendon v Port Adelaide
Docklands
16.10
106
12.12
84
Match complete
Essendon won by 22 points
IN
Guelfi
Hartley
McKenna
Brown
OUT
IN
McKenzie
Amon
Powell-Pepper
Barry
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
58% | 9 points | ✗ | 30.6 | -0.26 |
 |
|
73% | 21 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.87 |
 |
|
61% | 14 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.36 |
 |
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.36 |
 |
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.34 |
 |
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.26 |
 |
|
57% | 8 points | ✗ | 29.6 | -0.23 |
| Punters | |
57% | ✗ | -0.22 | ||
 |
|
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.19 |
 |
|
56% | 8 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.18 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.14 |
 |
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.07 |
 |
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.04 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.