North Melbourne v Carlton

Bellerive Oval
18.8
116
4.6
30

Match complete
North Melbourne won by 86 points

IN
Tarrant
Hrovat
OUT
IN
O'Brien
O'Shea
Graham
Silvagni
Murphy
Lamb
Marchbank
Polson
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
North Melbourne
60% 10 points 76.30.26
Massey Ratings
North Melbourne
72% 19 points 67.00.53
Swinburne
North Melbourne
65% 14 points 72.00.38
The Arc
North Melbourne
65% 13 points 73.00.37
Punters
North Melbourne
64% 0.35
Squiggle
North Melbourne
62% 14 points 72.00.31
PlusSixOne
North Melbourne
61% 16 points 70.00.29
Graft
North Melbourne
61% 10 points 76.00.28
Matter of Stats
North Melbourne
57% 6 points 80.50.19
Live Ladders
North Melbourne
57% 6 points 80.00.19
Stattraction
North Melbourne
56% 7 points 79.00.16
Footy Maths Institute
North Melbourne
55% 7 points 79.00.14
HPN
Carlton
56% 5 points 91.0-0.19

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2018