Richmond v Brisbane Lions

M.C.G.

110

17

Match complete
Richmond won by 93 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Richmond
86% 45 points 48.30.78
Richmond
94% 50 points 43.00.92
Richmond
92% 57 points 36.00.88
Richmond
92% 50 points 43.00.87
Richmond
90% 63 points 30.00.85
Richmond
90% 47 points 46.00.85
Richmond
89% 44 points 49.00.83
Punters
Richmond
87% 0.80
Richmond
86% 51 points 42.00.78
Richmond
82% 35 points 58.00.72
Richmond
77% 40 points 53.00.62
Richmond
76% 25 points 68.00.61
Richmond
74% 30 points 63.00.57

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2018