Adelaide v Collingwood

Adelaide Oval

58

106

Match complete
Collingwood won by 48 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
78% 31 points 79.0-1.17
Adelaide
87% 35 points 83.0-1.92
Adelaide
83% 35 points 83.0-1.53
Adelaide
83% 34 points 81.6-1.57
Adelaide
82% 33 points 81.0-1.48
Punters
Adelaide
81% -1.42
Adelaide
80% 42 points 90.0-1.32
Adelaide
80% 39 points 87.0-1.32
Adelaide
79% 31 points 79.0-1.25
Adelaide
79% 30 points 78.0-1.28
Adelaide
73% 34 points 82.0-0.89
Adelaide
69% 22 points 70.0-0.69
Adelaide
57% 6 points 54.0-0.20

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2018