Adelaide v Collingwood

Adelaide Oval
9.4
58
16.10
106

Match complete
Collingwood won by 48 points

IN
Fogarty
Murphy
OUT
IN
De Goey
Adams
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
78% 31 points 79.0-1.17
Massey Ratings
Adelaide
87% 35 points 83.0-1.92
Matter of Stats
Adelaide
83% 34 points 81.6-1.57
Graft
Adelaide
83% 35 points 83.0-1.53
The Arc
Adelaide
82% 33 points 81.0-1.48
Punters
Adelaide
81% -1.42
Footy Maths Institute
Adelaide
80% 42 points 90.0-1.32
Squiggle
Adelaide
80% 39 points 87.0-1.32
Live Ladders
Adelaide
79% 30 points 78.0-1.28
Swinburne
Adelaide
79% 31 points 79.0-1.25
PlusSixOne
Adelaide
73% 34 points 82.0-0.89
Stattraction
Adelaide
69% 22 points 70.0-0.69
HPN
Adelaide
57% 6 points 54.0-0.20

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2018