Geelong v Hawthorn

M.C.G.

117

118

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 1 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
59% 10 points 10.7-0.29
Geelong
74% 22 points 23.0-0.92
Geelong
74% 21 points 22.0-0.93
Geelong
62% 11 points 12.0-0.38
Geelong
61% 18 points 19.0-0.34
Geelong
59% 11 points 12.0-0.29
Geelong
59% 8 points 9.0-0.29
Punters
Geelong
57% -0.23
Geelong
55% 5 points 6.0-0.15
Geelong
55% 3 points 4.3-0.14
Geelong
52% 2 points 3.0-0.07
Geelong
51% 4 points 5.0-0.03
Geelong
51% 1 point 2.0-0.04

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 2, 2018