Brisbane Lions v Melbourne
Gabba
10.14
74
14.16
100
Match complete
Melbourne won by 26 points
IN
Cox
Bewick
Mathieson
Rich
Robinson
Bell
OUT
IN
Bugg
Tyson
Hannan
Maynard
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 66% | 17 points | ✓ | 8.5 | 0.40 | |
90% | 48 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.85 | ||
Punters | 72% | ✓ | 0.52 | |||
69% | 23 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.47 | ||
67% | 18 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.43 | ||
67% | 15 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.42 | ||
65% | 20 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.38 | ||
64% | 15 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.36 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.27 | ||
60% | 16 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.27 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.24 | ||
59% | 13 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.24 | ||
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 18.6 | 0.19 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.