Collingwood v Greater Western Sydney
M.C.G.
12.7
79
15.5
95
Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 16 points
IN
Brown
Scharenberg
Broomhead
Reid
Smith
Cox
OUT
IN
Scully
Greene
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 6.1 | 0.26 |
 |
|
74% | 22 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.56 |
| Punters | |
68% | ✓ | 0.43 | ||
 |
|
65% | 15 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.38 |
 |
|
64% | 18 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.36 |
 |
|
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 6.3 | 0.26 |
 |
|
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.23 |
 |
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.21 |
 |
|
56% | 8 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.15 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.15 |
 |
|
55% | 7 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.14 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.13 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.08 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.