Hawthorn v Collingwood
M.C.G.
15.11
101
9.13
67
Match complete
Hawthorn won by 34 points
IN
Burton
Stratton
Henderson
Frawley
Impey
Rioli
Hodge
Langford
Hartung
Brand
Glass
Morrison
OUT
IN
Stephenson
Murray
Crocker
Varcoe
Smith
Reid
Pendlebury
Goldsack
Elliott
Broomhead
Scharenberg
Brown
Daicos
Kirby
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 52% | 2 points | ✓ | 32.1 | 0.07 | |
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 23.0 | 0.35 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.25 | ||
55% | 8 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.13 | ||
Punters | 54% | ✓ | 0.12 | |||
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.08 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.03 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.02 | ||
50% | 4 points | ✗ | 38.0 | 0.00 | ||
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.01 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 35.1 | -0.01 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.03 | ||
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.17 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.