St Kilda v Brisbane Lions
Docklands
16.11
107
12.10
82
Match complete
St Kilda won by 25 points
IN
Clark
Long
McCartin
Armitage
Riewoldt
Dunstan
Weller
Lonie
OUT
IN
Rayner
Christensen
Berry
Bell
Hipwood
Robinson
Cameron
Hodge
Rockliff
Bastinac
Mathieson
Beams
Barrett
Close
Cox
Allison
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 76% | 31 points | ✓ | 6.4 | 0.61 | |
86% | 39 points | ✓ | 14.4 | 0.78 | ||
85% | 33 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.76 | ||
83% | 35 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.74 | ||
82% | 32 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.71 | ||
80% | 43 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.68 | ||
80% | 36 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.68 | ||
80% | 32 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.68 | ||
75% | 38 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.58 | ||
Punters | 72% | ✓ | 0.52 | |||
65% | 19 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.39 | ||
65% | 25 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.39 | ||
65% | 13 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.37 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.