St Kilda v Brisbane Lions

Docklands
16.11
107
12.10
82

Match complete
St Kilda won by 25 points

IN
Clark
Long
McCartin
Armitage
Riewoldt
Dunstan
Weller
Lonie
OUT
IN
Rayner
Christensen
Berry
Bell
Hipwood
Robinson
Cameron
Hodge
Rockliff
Bastinac
Mathieson
Beams
Barrett
Close
Cox
Allison
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
St Kilda
76% 31 points 6.40.61
Matter of Stats
St Kilda
86% 39 points 14.40.78
Massey Ratings
St Kilda
85% 33 points 8.00.76
Live Ladders
St Kilda
83% 35 points 10.00.74
The Arc
St Kilda
82% 32 points 7.00.71
Footy Maths Institute
St Kilda
80% 43 points 18.00.68
Swinburne
St Kilda
80% 36 points 11.00.68
Graft
St Kilda
80% 32 points 7.00.68
Squiggle
St Kilda
75% 38 points 13.00.58
Punters
St Kilda
72% 0.52
Stattraction
St Kilda
65% 19 points 6.00.39
PlusSixOne
St Kilda
65% 25 points 0.00.39
HPN
St Kilda
65% 13 points 12.00.37

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 1, 2018