Essendon v Adelaide
Docklands
14.15
99
12.15
87
Match complete
Essendon won by 12 points
IN
Langford
Brown
Hooker
Green
Dea
Smith
Saad
Stringer
Fantasia
Gleeson
Kelly
Baguley
Watson
Ambrose
Colyer
Myers
OUT
IN
Fogarty
Doedee
Murphy
Ellis-Yolmen
Hampton
McGovern
Gibbs
Lynch
Walker
Crouch
Lever
Cameron
Otten
Knight
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
59% | 11 points | ✗ | 22.8 | -0.28 |
 |
|
66% | 21 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.56 |
 |
|
66% | 17 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.56 |
 |
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.38 |
 |
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.37 |
 |
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.31 |
 |
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 21.8 | -0.30 |
 |
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.29 |
 |
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.21 |
 |
|
56% | 11 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.18 |
 |
|
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.18 |
 |
|
55% | 8 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.16 |
| Punters | |
52% | ✓ | 0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.