Essendon v Adelaide

Docklands

99

87

Match complete
Essendon won by 12 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
59% 11 points 22.8-0.28
Adelaide
66% 21 points 33.0-0.56
Adelaide
66% 17 points 29.0-0.56
Adelaide
62% 11 points 23.0-0.38
Adelaide
61% 10 points 22.0-0.37
Adelaide
60% 10 points 21.8-0.30
Adelaide
60% 9 points 21.0-0.31
Adelaide
59% 8 points 20.0-0.29
Adelaide
57% 7 points 19.0-0.21
Adelaide
56% 11 points 23.0-0.18
Adelaide
56% 7 points 19.0-0.18
Adelaide
55% 8 points 20.0-0.16
Punters
Essendon
52% 0.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 1, 2018